Monday, April 7, 2025

Indonesia Investment Climate (3)

When the noble bats of the political jungle decided to disband, their eternal rivals, the tadpoles—those ever-resourceful salespeople of excuses—remained steadfastly nurtured. True to form, instead of clearing the murky waters of public discourse, they excelled at stirring up even more sludge. Take, for instance, the latest spectacle surrounding their revered leader, Mulyono, and his mystical diploma.
In an act of unparalleled brilliance, these loyal livestock proudly uploaded what they hailed as the “authentic diploma” of their beloved figure. Not stopping there, some even concocted arguments so dazzlingly convoluted that they could only serve one purpose: to bamboozle. Yet, alas, instead of silencing skeptics, this move only invited sharper scrutiny. The public, ever the vigilant detective, found even more peculiarities—like the curious case of Mulyono’s bespectacled photo on the diploma.
“Last I checked,” quipped one observer, “we weren’t allowed to wear glasses in official ID photos. But hey, maybe Mulyono’s vision transcends mere mortal rules.”
And so it goes for Mulyono—our perennial champion of missteps. Another day, another stumble. Oh, Mulyono… forever failing… forever entertaining!

In Economic Development (2017, Pearson Education), Michael P. Todaro and Stephen C. Smith provide a rich narrative that explores the intricate web of economic policies and factors influencing development, particularly in the context of developing countries. This comprehensive text delves into the multifaceted nature of economic growth and the challenges that arise in the pursuit of sustainable development.
The authors begin by emphasizing the significance of addressing poverty and inequality as central themes in economic development. They argue that for growth to be meaningful, it must be inclusive, ensuring that the benefits reach all segments of society. This focus on equity is crucial, as disparities in wealth can lead to social unrest and hinder overall progress. By implementing targeted policies aimed at poverty alleviation, countries can create a more equitable environment conducive to sustainable growth.
Population growth is another vital factor discussed in the book. Todaro and Smith highlight how rapid demographic changes can strain resources, labor markets, and social services. In many developing nations, high population growth rates can exacerbate existing challenges, making it imperative for policymakers to consider demographic dynamics when crafting development strategies.
Human capital emerges as a cornerstone of economic development in their analysis. The authors stress that investments in education and health are essential for cultivating a skilled workforce capable of driving productivity and innovation. By prioritizing human capital development, countries can enhance their competitive edge in an increasingly globalized economy.
The work also addresses the transformation of agriculture as a key element in rural development. For many developing countries, agriculture remains the backbone of the economy. Therefore, modernizing agricultural practices and improving rural livelihoods are critical for fostering economic resilience and reducing poverty.
Environmental sustainability is another theme woven throughout the narrative. Todaro and Smith argue that economic growth should not come at the expense of environmental health. Instead, they advocate for policies that balance development with conservation efforts to ensure that natural resources are preserved for future generations.
A significant portion of the text is dedicated to exploring the role of institutions in shaping development outcomes. The authors contend that effective governance and robust institutions are essential for creating an environment where sound policies can be implemented successfully. Strong institutions foster stability, promote transparency, and enable civil society to engage meaningfully in the development process.

Investment climates in developing countries are also critically examined in this work. The authors discuss foreign direct investment (FDI) as a double-edged sword; while it can bring much-needed capital, technology transfer, and job creation, it can also lead to dependency on multinational corporations. They explore private portfolio investment and remittances as additional sources of financial inflow that can support economic growth but may also introduce volatility into local economies.
Foreign aid is scrutinized for its complexities—while it has the potential to address pressing development challenges, its effectiveness often hinges on how well it aligns with local needs and governance structures. The authors emphasize that trade policies play a crucial role in integrating developing countries into the global economy while protecting domestic industries from adverse effects.

Michael P. Todaro and Stephen C. Smith, as well as Charles Moran (if referring to his work on social capital), can be considered part of mainstream economics, though their approaches incorporate elements that broaden the scope of traditional economic analysis. Mainstream economics generally views Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as a critical driver of economic growth and development. Mainstream economics largely views FDI positively as a catalyst for growth, technology transfer, and global integration while also recognizing the need for careful management to mitigate potential risks.

Paul A. Samuelson, in his work Economics, co-authored with William Nordhaus, discusses various schools of economic thought, including perspectives often referred to as "anti-mainstream economics." In this context, anti-mainstream economics refers to critiques of the dominance of neoclassical and Keynesian economic theories that have been prevalent since the mid-20th century.
Samuelson is known for popularizing the neoclassical synthesis, which combines neoclassical and Keynesian theories and serves as the foundation of mainstream economics. However, in later editions of his book, he acknowledges the limitations of this approach, such as its tendency to oversimplify complex economic issues and its failure to adequately consider the role of institutions and socio-political factors in economic development.
In subsequent editions, Samuelson and Nordhaus began to provide space for alternative approaches such as institutional economics and critiques from other schools like the Austrian School and Marxian economics. This reflects their awareness of the importance of non-mainstream perspectives in understanding global economic dynamics.
Samuelson also recognizes the risks of government failure in economic intervention, such as corruption and bureaucratic inefficiencies. This becomes a point of critique against Keynesian approaches that overly rely on fiscal policy to address business cycles.
Samuelson warns against the dangers of using overly simplistic or holistic approaches to explain economic development processes. He emphasizes that economic analysis must take into account various factors such as income distribution, demographics, and structural changes.

Anti-mainstream economists often argue that Keynesianism compromises too much with classical economics and oversimplifies economic realities. For instance, post-Keynesians criticized Samuelson's neoclassical synthesis for distorting Keynes's original ideas, particularly his emphasis on uncertainty and the rejection of equilibrium-based models
Samuelson was a strong advocate for Keynesian economics, particularly its focus on demand-side factors as the primary driver of employment and economic stability. He emphasized that government intervention, through fiscal and monetary policy, is essential to achieve full employment and prevent economic depressions. He integrated Keynesian macroeconomics with neoclassical microeconomics in what he termed the "neoclassical synthesis." This approach posited that markets generally function efficiently under full employment but require government policies to maintain macroeconomic equilibrium
Keynesian economics provided tools for governments to address recessions and unemployment, such as deficit spending and public investment. Samuelson believed the "New Economics" (Keynesianism) had largely solved the problem of mass unemployment during his time. Samuelson acknowledged unresolved issues in Keynesian economics, such as maintaining both full employment and price stability (cost-push inflation). He suggested that permanent wage and price controls might be necessary to address these challenges.

The essence of anti-mainstream economics, often referred to as heterodox economics, revolves around several key principles that challenge the dominant neoclassical and Keynesian paradigms. Anti-mainstream economics is influenced by a wide range of economic theories, including socialist, communist, and Marxian ideas. However, it is not exclusively derived from these ideologies.
Socialist economics emphasizes social ownership of the means of production and prioritizes production for use rather than profit. This aligns with some anti-mainstream perspectives that critique profit-driven capitalist systems and advocate for alternative models like cooperative ownership or planned economies. Certain strands of anti-mainstream economics incorporate insights from socialist thought, particularly in addressing issues like inequality, exploitation, and the role of government in regulating markets.
Marxian economics is a significant contributor to heterodox economic thought. It critiques capitalism's inherent contradictions, such as the exploitation of labor and the chaotic nature of free markets. These critiques are central to many anti-mainstream approaches that challenge the assumptions of neoclassical economics.
While Marxian economics is rooted in Marxist ideology, it focuses more on economic analysis than political advocacy. Anti-mainstream economists often use Marxian concepts like surplus value and class struggle to complement their critiques of mainstream theories.
Communism, as an economic ideology, seeks to abolish private property and establish common ownership of production. Some anti-mainstream economists draw inspiration from communist critiques of capitalism but do not necessarily advocate for full-scale communism. Instead, they may adopt elements like the emphasis on social equity and collective decision-making while rejecting authoritarian implementations associated with historical communist regimes.
So, anti-mainstream economics encompasses a diverse range of perspectives beyond socialism, communism, or Marxism. It includes schools such as institutional economics, feminist economics, ecological economics, and Austrian economics. This diversity reflects a broader critique of mainstream economic assumptions rather than adherence to any single ideological framework.

There are anti-mainstream economic schools that are not directly related to socialist, communist, or Marxist ideologies. These schools challenge mainstream economics (neoclassical and Keynesian) from different perspectives without necessarily adopting the principles of socialism or Marxism. For example, the Austrian School of Economics emphasises individual choice, market processes, and the significance of entrepreneurship. They reject government intervention in markets and emphasize the role of free-market mechanisms. Key figures include Friedrich Hayek and Ludwig von Mises, who critique central planning and advocate for economic freedom.
Ecological Economics examines the relationship between economies and ecosystems, emphasizing sustainability and environmental limits. They critique mainstream economics for ignoring ecological constraints and promote a holistic approach to resource management.
Institutional Economics studies how institutions (rules, norms, and laws) shape economic behavior and outcomes. They reject the idea that markets operate independently of social and political structures. Prominent figures include Thorstein Veblen and John R. Commons.
Complexity Economics focuses on dynamic systems and non-linear interactions within economies. They challenge equilibrium-based models by emphasizing uncertainty, adaptation, and evolution in economic systems.
Evolutionary Economics, inspired by Darwinian principles, this school views economies as evolving systems shaped by innovation and competition. They critique static models of mainstream economics for failing to capture dynamic change.
Feminist Economics critiques traditional economics for ignoring gender dynamics and unpaid labor (e.g., caregiving). They advocate for inclusive approaches that account for social inequalities.
These schools demonstrate that anti-mainstream economics is diverse, encompassing perspectives that critique mainstream theories from various angles—many of which are unrelated to socialism, communism, or Marxism. They contribute valuable insights into areas such as sustainability, institutional dynamics, complexity, and social equity.

When it comes to investment, several key principles characterize the anti-mainstream perspective. Anti-mainstream economics emphasizes that investment decisions should prioritize social welfare and community benefits over mere profit maximization. Investments should contribute to the well-being of society as a whole, addressing issues like poverty, inequality, and access to essential services.
Investments should consider their environmental impact, promoting sustainable practices that minimize ecological harm. This principle advocates for funding projects that support renewable energy, conservation, and sustainable agriculture, reflecting a commitment to environmental stewardship.
Anti-mainstream economics encourages ethical investment practices where investors align their portfolios with their values. This includes supporting socially responsible enterprises, fair trade initiatives, and companies that prioritize ethical labor practices.
Investments should empower local communities and promote grassroots economic development. This principle supports funding for small businesses, cooperatives, and community-led projects that enhance local economies and provide equitable opportunities for residents.
Anti-mainstream economists often critique the financialization of economies, where financial markets dominate decision-making processes. They advocate for investments that focus on the "real economy," which includes productive sectors such as manufacturing and agriculture rather than speculative financial instruments.
This perspective supports alternative business models like cooperatives and social enterprises that prioritize collective ownership and democratic decision-making over traditional corporate structures. These models aim to distribute profits more equitably among stakeholders. Anti-mainstream economics examines how investments can reinforce or challenge existing power structures and social inequalities. It advocates for policies that ensure equitable access to resources and opportunities, particularly for marginalized communities.
Some strands of anti-mainstream economics advocate for the degrowth movement, which challenges the notion of perpetual economic growth as a measure of success. Instead, it promotes a reorientation towards quality of life improvements and sustainable living.

Several key figures and schools of thought are recognized as pioneers and prominent voices in anti-mainstream economics. A leading figure in the Austrian School of economics, Hayek is known for his critique of central planning and Keynesian economics. His book The Road to Serfdom argues that government intervention in the economy leads to loss of freedom and inefficiency.

As a prominent monetarist, Milton Friedman challenged Keynesian policies, particularly regarding the role of money supply in economic stability. He advocated for minimal government intervention and emphasized the importance of free markets. Friedman's contributions have significantly influenced economic thought, shifting discussions towards the importance of money supply and advocating for free-market principles while challenging the effectiveness of Keynesian interventions. Friedman is often regarded as the founder of monetarism, which emphasizes the control of money supply as a means to regulate economic stability and combat inflation. This school of thought directly challenges Keynesian fiscal policies, arguing instead for a focus on monetary policy.
In "Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money: A Restatement" (1956, the University of Chicago Press), Friedman elaborates on the quantity theory of money, asserting that there is a direct relationship between the amount of money in circulation and price levels. He argues against Keynesian views that downplay the role of money supply in determining economic outcomes.

A Nobel laureate, Joseph Stiglitz has critiqued mainstream economic theories for their assumptions about perfect information and market efficiency. He emphasizes the role of information asymmetries and market failures in economic analysis.

Known for his work on welfare economics and development, Amartya Sen critiques traditional economic measures like GDP, advocating for a broader understanding of human well-being and social justice.

Post-Keynesian Economics includes economists like Joan Robinson and Paul Davidson, who argue against the neoclassical synthesis and emphasize the importance of uncertainty, historical context, and the role of effective demand in economic theory.

Complexity Economics approach challenges traditional equilibrium models by incorporating insights from complexity theory, focusing on dynamic systems and non-linear interactions within economies.
Evolutionary Economics influenced by Darwinian principles, this school views economies as evolving systems, emphasizing the importance of institutions and historical context in shaping economic behavior.

These figures and schools represent a diverse array of critiques against mainstream economic theories, advocating for alternative frameworks that address complexities often overlooked by conventional approaches.

In "Small Is Beautiful: A Study of Economics as if People Mattered (2011, Vintage Digital)," E.F. Schumacher presents a compelling critique of conventional economic models that prioritize profit maximization and large-scale industrialization. His work advocates for a more human-centered approach to economics, emphasizing the importance of small-scale, sustainable practices that consider the well-being of individuals and communities.
Schumacher argues that traditional economic theories often overlook the human element, treating people as mere cogs in a machine driven by profit motives. He posits that economics should be fundamentally about people and their needs rather than abstract models focused solely on capital accumulation and efficiency. This perspective challenges the dominant narrative of economic growth, which often equates success with increased production and consumption.
One of the central themes of Schumacher's work is advocacy for small-scale enterprises and local production systems. He believes that smaller operations are not only more sustainable but also more aligned with human values. By promoting local businesses and community-based initiatives, Schumacher argues that economies can foster meaningful employment, enhance social cohesion, and reduce environmental impacts.
He emphasizes that small-scale practices allow for greater adaptability to local conditions and needs. This contrasts sharply with large-scale industrial operations, which often impose standardized solutions that may not be suitable for diverse communities. By prioritizing small-scale solutions, societies can cultivate resilience and sustainability in their economic systems.
Schumacher critiques the relentless pursuit of growth inherent in conventional investment models. He warns against the environmental degradation and social dislocation that can result from unchecked industrialization and foreign investment. Instead, he advocates for sustainable practices that respect ecological limits and promote harmony between human activities and the natural world. His argument extends to the idea that true progress should not be measured solely by GDP growth or profit margins but by improvements in quality of life, social equity, and environmental health. Schumacher calls for an economic framework that values sustainability over short-term gains, urging policymakers to consider the long-term consequences of their decisions on communities and the environment.
Schumacher's critique of conventional investment models highlights several key issues. Conventional models often prioritize financial returns at the expense of community welfare. This focus can lead to the exploitation of resources, labor, and local cultures, ultimately harming the very communities that investments are supposed to benefit. Large-scale industrialization frequently results in significant environmental harm, including pollution, habitat destruction, and depletion of natural resources. Schumacher argues that sustainable practices must take precedence to protect ecosystems for future generations.
Large corporations often impose standardized solutions that disregard local contexts and needs. Schumacher emphasizes the importance of tailoring economic practices to fit specific communities, fostering a sense of ownership and responsibility among local populations.
The concentration of wealth and power in large corporations can exacerbate social inequalities. Schumacher advocates for economic systems that empower individuals and communities rather than marginalise them in favor of corporate interests.
E.F. Schumacher presents a powerful argument for a more human-centered approach to economics that prioritizes small-scale, sustainable practices over large-scale industrialization and foreign investment. His critique of conventional investment models serves as a call to action for policymakers, businesses, and individuals to rethink their priorities in favor of community welfare, environmental sustainability, and social equity. By embracing Schumacher's vision, societies can create economic systems that genuinely serve people while respecting the planet's ecological boundaries.

The phrase "a more human-centered approach to economics" refers to an economic framework that prioritizes human well-being, social equity, and environmental sustainability over purely financial metrics and profit maximization. Schumacher argues that economics should be fundamentally about meeting human needs rather than merely focusing on abstract concepts like capital accumulation or economic growth. A human-centered approach seeks to understand and address the real needs of individuals and communities, including their social, emotional, and cultural requirements.
A human-centered economics recognizes the interconnectedness of human activities and the natural environment. Schumacher advocates for sustainable practices that protect ecological systems and ensure that resources are used responsibly. This perspective stresses that economic activities should not harm the environment or deplete resources for future generations.
Schumacher promotes small-scale, localized economic practices as a means of fostering community empowerment and resilience. He believes that smaller enterprises are more adaptable to local conditions, can better meet specific community needs, and allow for greater participation from individuals in decision-making processes.
A human-centered approach aims to reduce social inequalities by ensuring that economic benefits are distributed more equitably among all members of society. Schumacher critiques conventional economic models that often lead to wealth concentration in the hands of a few, advocating instead for systems that promote fair opportunities and outcomes for everyone. A human-centered economics recognizes that economic activities are interconnected with social, cultural, and environmental factors. This holistic view encourages a comprehensive understanding of how different aspects of society influence one another, leading to more informed decision-making. Schumacher challenges the conventional notion of success measured solely by GDP growth or profit margins. Instead, he argues for a broader definition of progress that includes improvements in quality of life, community well-being, and environmental health. This reorientation encourages policymakers and businesses to consider the long-term impacts of their decisions on people and the planet.
Schumacher's concept of "a more human-centered approach to economics" advocates for an economic system that is fundamentally oriented towards enhancing human welfare, promoting sustainability, and ensuring social equity. By prioritizing people over profits and fostering local solutions, this approach seeks to create a more just and sustainable world where economic activities contribute positively to the lives of individuals and communities while respecting ecological limits.
In summary, the main principles of anti-mainstream economics in investment emphasize social welfare, sustainability, ethical considerations, community empowerment, critiques of financialization, alternative economic models, addressing inequality, and rethinking growth paradigms. These principles collectively advocate for a more holistic approach to investment that prioritizes societal well-being and environmental sustainability over traditional profit-driven motives. By adopting these principles, investors can contribute to creating a more equitable and sustainable economic landscape.