Tuesday, April 15, 2025

Indonesia Investment Climate (8)

During a cozy fireside chat with six editors-in-chief at his grand residence, the esteemed President of Konoha, Hokage, shared his thoughts on corruption, fairness, and family bonds—because, as everyone knows, nothing brings people together like a good discussion about national scandals. With the elegance of someone discussing lost tea biscuits, Hokage suggested confiscating assets obtained through corruption (a classic move), but with a twist: the families of the corrupt individuals—especially their diamond-clad children and mansion-lounging spouses—deserved a generous dose of compassion.
"The sins of parents should not stain the silk robes of their offspring," declared Hokage while sipping what one might imagine was a cup of gold-flaked tea. He proposed letting legal experts untangle the web of justice, ensuring fairness for all, including those who happened to benefit handsomely from their parents' questionable ethics.
Critics, unsurprisingly, were not sipping gold tea. Konoha Corruption Watch (KCW), the kingdom's resident watchdog, barked loudly at Hokage's proposal. "Sympathy for their families? What about the people whose taxes funded their golden chandeliers?" KCW questioned. They also noted, with the sarcasm of a fed-up town crier, that family members weren’t always innocent bystanders—they often participated enthusiastically in the corruption fun.
Meanwhile, some analysts, perhaps enjoying a more optimistic beverage, painted Hokage as a leader striking a delicate balance between justice and compassion. "The sins may belong to the parents," they mused, "but the virtues of dialogue and transparency belong to Hokage." Whether this transparency involved crystal-clear excuses or diamond-bright contradictions, however, remains open to interpretation.
And thus, Hokage's grand balancing act continued—a spectacle watched with a mix of laughter, exasperation, and bewilderment by the citizens of Konoha.
So, what about in Indonesia?
Corruption remains a significant concern in Indonesia, affecting various levels of government. High-profile corruption cases can undermine investor trust as they raise questions about the integrity of government officials and institutions.
Investors may encounter demands for unofficial payments or bribes to expedite processes or secure favorable treatment. These practices not only increase the cost of doing business but also create an unpredictable investment environment.
Corruption can distort market dynamics, making it difficult for honest businesses to compete. This situation can discourage foreign investors who prioritize ethical business practices and fair competition.
Transparency International's Corruption Perception Index indicates that corruption remains a significant issue in Indonesia, particularly in sectors like mining, where regulatory oversight is critical. Various reports and studies have documented the involvement of military and police retirees in business ventures, including mining. For instance, a report by the Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC) highlights how retired military personnel often engage in business activities related to natural resource extraction.
Specific case studies have shown how political connections can influence the awarding of mining licenses. For example, investigations into certain mining operations have revealed that companies with ties to influential political figures have received preferential treatment in securing permits.

Corruption can significantly weaken a country. It undermines trust in governmental institutions as citizens lose faith in their leaders' ability to act fairly and ethically. Corruption diverts public funds from essential services like education, healthcare, and infrastructure into the hands of a few, worsening inequalities and stalling economic progress. It also damages a country's reputation internationally, deterring foreign investment and partnerships. Over time, corruption erodes societal values and fuels instability, making it harder for nations to thrive politically, economically, and socially.
Rampant corruption has contributed to the failure or severe weakening of several countries throughout history. For example:
  • Somalia: Decades of corruption have undermined governance, leading to political instability, economic collapse, and widespread poverty. Corruption has fueled conflict and hindered efforts to rebuild the nation.
  • Venezuela: Corruption in Venezuela has played a significant role in its economic and political crises. Mismanagement of oil revenues and widespread bribery have led to hyperinflation, food shortages, and a collapse of public services.
  • Zimbabwe: Corruption under the leadership of Robert Mugabe contributed to economic decline, hyperinflation, and the erosion of democratic institutions. The misuse of public funds and land reforms exacerbated poverty and inequality.
Corruption does not care whether a country adheres to democracy or communism. Corruption levels in communist and democratic countries can vary significantly, and it's not as simple as saying one system is inherently more corrupt than the other. In communist systems, corruption often stems from centralized power and a lack of transparency, which can lead to unchecked abuses of authority. For example, officials may exploit their positions for personal gain without fear of accountability.
Corruption has been a persistent issue in China, with high-ranking officials exploiting their positions for personal gain. President Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has targeted millions of officials, but corruption remains a challenge.
Many people admire China for its political and economic achievements because of the country’s remarkable transformation over the past few decades. Since the economic reforms of the late 1970s under Deng Xiaoping, China has evolved from a relatively poor and isolated nation into the world’s second-largest economy, a global manufacturing hub, and an influential geopolitical player. This rapid development, often referred to as the "Chinese miracle," has inspired admiration for its ability to lift hundreds of millions out of poverty, build large-scale infrastructure, and establish itself as a key player in global trade and technology.
However, despite these achievements, indeed, China has yet to surpass the United States or Europe in several critical areas. Economically, while China's GDP is immense, its per capita GDP remains much lower than that of developed nations. Politically and militarily, countries like the U.S. maintain a clearer global influence due to their established alliances, soft power, and strategic position. Additionally, China's political model and human rights record often face criticism, especially from Western nations.
There is evidence suggesting that the Chinese government invests heavily in its image abroad. This includes funding media outlets, exerting influence on social platforms, and cooperating with influencers to promote positive narratives about China’s policies and development model.

Historically, China, despite being one of the oldest and most advanced civilizations, has struggled to establish itself as a global leader due to internal and external challenges. Internally, corruption has often plagued its governance systems, particularly during the decline of many dynasties, such as the Qing dynasty. This systemic corruption weakened the central authority, created inefficiencies, and deepened social grievances, which frequently led to internal unrest and rebellion. Additionally, periods of political fragmentation—such as the Warring States period or the era following the fall of the Han dynasty—further eroded China's ability to maintain stability and unity.
Externally, China faced repeated invasions and pressures from foreign powers, including the Mongol conquest during the Yuan dynasty and Western imperialism during the 19th and early 20th centuries. These external threats not only undermined China's sovereignty but also exposed vulnerabilities in its defense and governance. The Opium Wars, for instance, revealed China's inability to counter Western military and economic strategies at the time.
Externally, China faced repeated invasions and pressures from foreign powers, including the Mongol conquest during the Yuan dynasty and Western imperialism during the 19th and early 20th centuries. These external threats not only undermined China's sovereignty but also exposed vulnerabilities in its defense and governance. The Opium Wars, for instance, revealed China's inability to counter Western military and economic strategies at the time.
Moreover, China's historical focus was often inward-looking, prioritizing internal stability, self-sufficiency, and Confucian principles rather than expansionist or global leadership pursuits. Unlike expansionist empires such as Rome or Britain, China centered much of its influence through tributary systems and cultural diplomacy. While it exerted significant soft power, it generally refrained from establishing global dominance or military hegemony.
These factors—internal corruption, political fragmentation, external invasions, and a historically inward-looking approach—help explain why China, despite its immense wealth and influence, did not emerge as a global leader for hundreds of years. However, in the modern era, it is actively addressing many of these historical challenges as it seeks to reposition itself on the global stage.

China faces several significant challenges in its pursuit of becoming a global superpower. China's military expansion is viewed with suspicion by neighboring countries, particularly Japan and South Korea, which fear instability and a shift in the regional balance of power. This distrust complicates China's efforts to assert itself as a leader in East Asia and necessitates active engagement in international issues to build confidence among its neighbors.
China's authoritarian political system presents a fundamental challenge. The lack of democratic practices and human rights concerns, such as the treatment of Uighurs in Xinjiang, can undermine its global image and diplomatic relations. This authoritarianism may hinder China's ability to gain soft power and influence on the world stage.
China's rapid economic growth has led to increased competition with established powers like the United States. Trade tensions, exemplified by tariffs and sanctions, pose risks to China's economic ambitions. The ongoing trade war with the U.S. highlights vulnerabilities in China's export-driven economy. In 2024, China's projected GDP growth is around 5%, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Official data also indicated a growth rate of 4.7% in Q2 2024. Challenges such as demographic shifts (aging population), high levels of debt, geopolitical tensions, and a shift toward consumption-based growth have contributed to this slowdown.
China is indeed facing significant challenges in maintaining its image as a global economic powerhouse. China is grappling with a prolonged property crisis, sluggish domestic consumption, and high local government debt. The World Bank has even warned that structural reforms are necessary to address fundamental barriers to economic growth. China has tried to rival the World Bank through its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), offering large loans to developing countries. However, many BRI projects face debt repayment issues, adding financial pressure on China itself.
Many analysts question the accuracy of China's economic reports, including GDP figures that are often believed to be inflated. Reported economic growth has also slowed in recent years, falling short of the government's ambitious targets. Skepticism about China's progress, especially regarding corruption and transparency, is widespread. Although President Xi Jinping claims to crack down on corruption, many doubt the effectiveness of these measures. Few cases are investigated transparently, and many believe that anti-corruption actions are often selective and politically motivated.
As an authoritarian system, China's information presented to the public is often controlled, making it difficult to verify the truth of reports about economic progress or government actions. This leads to doubts about official data such as reported GDP growth. Many external analysts question the accuracy of China's economic statistics. They argue that despite reported growth, structural challenges like dependence on investment and exports persist, along with issues in the property sector and domestic consumption.

China faces significant environmental challenges, primarily due to rapid industrialization and urbanization. Air quality remains a critical concern, with pollutants like PM2.5 causing severe health impacts. The World Health Organization (WHO) attributes around two million deaths annually in China to air pollution, which includes both outdoor and indoor sources.
In response, the Chinese government has set ambitious targets to combat air pollution, aiming to eliminate severe air pollution by the end of 2025. This includes enhancing emission controls and improving air quality monitoring systems. Rapid economic growth has led to significant resource exploitation, including mining and deforestation, which threaten biodiversity and ecological stability. The government is under pressure to balance economic growth with environmental sustainability.
There is evidence that some Chinese mining companies are relocating operations to Indonesia. Indonesia is rich in natural resources, making it an attractive destination for mining investments. Some Chinese firms seek more favorable regulatory conditions and lower operational costs compared to domestic regulations in China. Collaborations between Chinese companies and Indonesian firms can facilitate access to resources and markets.
The relocation of Chinese mining companies to Indonesia has significant implications for the environmental landscape of the country. First and foremost, the mining activities often lead to extensive land degradation and deforestation, which threaten the rich biodiversity of Indonesia’s ecosystems. This environmental impact is especially concerning because the areas being mined are often home to unique flora and fauna, and the destruction of their habitats can lead to irreversible ecological damage.
Additionally, the waste produced from mining operations, such as tailings and chemical runoff, poses serious risks to local water sources. Contaminants from these waste products can pollute rivers and groundwater, impacting not only the environment but also the health of communities that rely on these water sources for drinking and agricultural purposes. Many residents have reported health issues related to pollution, including respiratory problems and skin diseases, highlighting the human cost of these mining activities.
Moreover, the influx of foreign companies often brings with it a lack of adequate regulatory oversight. While the Indonesian government has regulations intended to protect the environment, enforcement can be inconsistent. This inconsistency allows some companies to operate without fully adhering to environmental safeguards, exacerbating the detrimental effects on the local environment and communities.
Furthermore, the tension between economic development and environmental preservation becomes evident as local communities face dislocation and disruption due to mining operations. Many residents find their land taken away for mining activities, which can lead to social conflict as they struggle to obtain fair compensation and maintain their livelihoods.
In conclusion, while the presence of Chinese mining companies in Indonesia may offer economic opportunities, the environmental repercussions are profound and require careful consideration and management to safeguard both the natural environment and the well-being of local communities.

Indonesia is increasingly reliant on China for trade, with China being the largest destination for Indonesian exports, accounting for over 25% of total exports in 2023. This dependence presents risks, as Indonesia's economy is heavily influenced by the demand for commodities such as nickel and coal, which are subject to global price fluctuations
China has invested heavily in Indonesia through initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), enhancing infrastructure development. However, this also means that Indonesia's economic health is tied to China's economic performance. Any slowdown in China's economy can adversely affect Indonesia
Indonesian industries, particularly textiles and electronics, face stiff competition from cheaper Chinese products. This necessitates improvements in productivity and innovation within Indonesia to remain competitive
.Indonesia should actively diversify its trade partners by strengthening cooperation with countries in ASEAN, Europe, and Latin America. This would provide greater economic flexibility and resilience, reducing reliance on China as a dominant trading partner. Revitalizing local industries is crucial to reducing dependence on imported goods. By boosting domestic production capacity, Indonesia can meet its internal market demands without relying heavily on Chinese products.
In every collaboration with China, Indonesia must ensure clear technology transfer agreements and training for the local workforce. This would help Indonesia develop expertise in key sectors and reduce reliance on foreign labor. Indonesia should use any decline in exports to China as an opportunity to explore new markets. By broadening its export network to other countries, Indonesia can lessen its dependence on the Chinese market. Pursuing free trade agreements with countries such as the European Union can help Indonesia access new opportunities for sustainable trade, further reducing its reliance on China. The government should establish strict regulations for foreign projects to ensure that national interests are protected. This includes environmental oversight and enforcing high standards for foreign investments.
By implementing these measures, Indonesia can build a stronger economic foundation and reduce the risks associated with overdependence on China. Diversification, domestic development, and strategic partnerships will be key to achieving greater economic independence.

In democratic systems, corruption can also exist, but the mechanisms of the free press, independent judiciary, and regular elections often act as checks and balances. However, democracies are not immune to issues like lobbying, campaign financing scandals, or bureaucratic inefficiencies, which can also be forms of corruption. In the United States, the Watergate scandal in the 1970s exposed corruption at the highest levels of government, leading to President Nixon's resignation.

Corruption has both short-term and long-term impacts on Indonesia's investment climate. In the short term, corruption creates uncertainty and increases risks for investors, discouraging both domestic and foreign investments. Businesses often face additional costs due to bribery and inefficiencies, reducing profitability and competitiveness. Corruption undermines confidence in government institutions and regulatory frameworks, making investors wary of entering the market.
In the long term, persistent corruption hampers economic development by diverting resources away from productive investments. Corruption damages Indonesia's reputation globally, making it less attractive compared to other investment destinations. Corruption exacerbates wealth disparities, leading to social unrest and instability, which further deters investment.
Corruption in Indonesia affects several key sectors, each with its challenges and consequences. SOEs like PT Pertamina and PT PLN have been involved in corruption scandals, often related to procurement processes, mismanagement, and embezzlement. These cases result in significant financial losses and inefficiencies. The oil and Gas Industry sector has been plagued by corruption in areas such as crude oil management and refinery product trading. Mismanagement and bribery have led to billions of rupiah in state losses, undermining the sector's potential. Corruption in infrastructure projects, healthcare, and education often leads to substandard services. For example, inflated project costs and bribery in construction contracts result in poorly built infrastructure. The judiciary and police are frequently cited as among the most corrupt institutions. Bribery and favoritism undermine the rule of law and public trust in these critical sectors.
These sectors highlight the widespread nature of corruption and its impact on governance and development. These effects highlight the urgent need for anti-corruption measures to improve Indonesia's investment climate and foster sustainable growth.

Thus our short journey to feel a little bit of the investment climate in Indonesia. And as a closing, let's sing Noah's song "Dibelakangku (Behind Me)" for those who have just visited their boss,

Aku menunggumu, menunggumu,
[I'm waiting for you, waiting for you,]
menunggumu mati di depanku, di depanku, di depanku
[for your end to ensue, right here, in view, right here in view]
Apa yang kau lakukan di belakangku?
[What do you hide behind my back?]
Mengapa tak kau tunjukkan di hadapanku?
[Why not show it on the track?]
Apa yang kau lakukan di belakangku? Di belakangku, oh, di belakangku?
[What do you hide behind my back, behind my back, oh, behind my back?]